Evaluation of Iran's Vision Document 2025 Development Plans from an Environmental Perspective

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 1. Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Management, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences & Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran

2 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Samangan University, Samangan, Afghanistan

Abstract

Benefiting from the favorable environment, the compatibility of development with the environment, and the realization of the 50th principle of the constitution are among the most important missions of Iran's Vision Document of 2025 (VD2025). In this way, the evaluation of the five-year plans of the VD2025 can help fulfill the environmental missions of the country. The objective of this research is to evaluate the development plans of VD2025. The required information was extracted from Yale University's Environmental Law and Policy Center and Columbia University's Center for International Geoscience Information Network between 2005 and 2022. To examine the environmental performance (EP) AHP method was used by summing up 32 indicators, including three sub-criteria of level one climate change with a weight of 0.38, ecosystem restoration with a weight of 0.42, and environmental health with a weight of 0.2. Also, the distance between the value of each environmental sub-index in the good and bad goals of each index was examined and presented in three situations: normal, inappropriate, and critical. According to the results, the sixth development plan with a score of 0.363 was ranked first, the fourth development plan was ranked second with a score of 0.341, and the fifth development plan was ranked third with a score of 0.296. Also, the fourth plan ranked first in 5 indicators, the fifth plan in 7 indicators, and the sixth plan in 13 indicators. In general, the sixth development plan has performed better in terms of environmental protection. Despite the emphasis of Iran's VD2025 on improving the environment, Iran has a worrying situation in most sub-indices of EP, which needs to be taken into consideration in future development plans.

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