Analyzing land use change and socio-economic driving forces of land degradation in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve

Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained. Despite conservation action in the protected areas, land use changes (LUC) occur within these areas. These changes rise from several drivers especially socio-economic driving forces. This research aims to analyze relation between LUC and socio-economic variables in Arasbaran Biosphere Reserve. In this regard, previous and current pattern of LUC over past 24 years extracted using RS techniques both for the whole area and the each of the zones within the Arasbaran BR. The correlation between the LUC and four socio-economic variables (population, occupational, literacy and household size growth rate) was analyzed through statistical analysis. Results indicated 5464.59 and 1351.07 ha deforested respectively in the whole area and the core zone during 1989 to 2013. Total degradation was about 12012.24 ha. The literacy variable was not significant and so omitted form the regression model. The remnant variables analyzed by Logistic model by enter techniques as a linear regression and so the regression model for predicting the land degradation through socio-economic variables was obtained.